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Axing the ‘ex-Japan’: a new era for Japanese bonds
Tailwinds from index reform to rate-hike expectations are lifting Japan's bond market from the doldrums, breathing new life into what was a dull backwater.
Asia outlook: Riding the growth momentum
China’s economic slowdown and the resilience of the US dollar have dimmed the lustre of Asian economies. But the growth story should continue in 2024.
Outlook scenario 1: Cyclical recession - our base case
A cyclical recession would see a moderate economic contraction followed by a return to growth in late 2024 or early 2025.
Outlook 2024: More risk, higher yields, and four ways forward
Profound changes across economies and markets make forecasting unusually difficult in 2024. Instead, we offer four potential paths the world could take.
Selling like hot chilli crab: a look at Singapore’s local bond boom
While debt issuance has slowed around the world, the Singapore dollar bond market is in a pocket of growth driven by policy tailwinds and an influx of funds.
New world, new playbook
We move into 2023 in a changed world, and the opportunities and challenges will be different for investors going forward.
China as a new safe haven?
Looming stagflation and war effects have global investors searching for havens. China represents a less conventional option with diversification benefits.
Tuning in to private markets
The flood of money into private assets has been one of the most significant investment trends of the past decade.
Waiting for more certainty
We are optimistic about equities over the next 12 to 18 months. Growth and earnings will be respectable but momentum is slowing.
Waiting for more certainty
We are optimistic about equities over the next 12 to 18 months. Growth and earnings will be respectable but momentum is slowing.
Chart Room: An inflection point for Chinese equities?
There may be pressure on valuations as international investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, but the long-term outlook continues to be positive.
Asia eyes a tantrum-free taper this time
A faster-than-expected tapering by the Federal Reserve remains a risk for Asian bond markets, but investors have been reassured by the latest policy signals.
A podium moment for Japan’s markets, too?
Japan stocks have long been consigned to tactical trading by global investors, but positive catalysts are emerging in a post-Covid inflationary world.
Planetary risk: Mapping climate pathways to macro and strategic asset allocation
A paper introducing the main points of consideration for integrating climate change outcomes into capital market assumptions.
Macau rebound a test case for China’s outbound travel
The ‘Las Vegas of the East’ is betting its long-standing travel bubble with mainland China can endure.
Chart Room: Equity volatility eases as Treasury yields rise
The VIX has fallen below a key technical level, suggesting a new wave of investor optimism.
Chart Room: EM outperformance could be sustained, if commodities are a guide
This week’s Chart Room shows the historical correlation of EM equities with commodities, which suggests that the breakout could be sustained.
Chart Room: Retail investors pile into the fastest growing stocks
Retail investors' market participation is extreme not only in volume, but also concentration.
Chart Room: Risk-on and on, with caveats
Caution and careful positioning are important from here, based on the latest readings from Fidelity’s risk aversion indicator.
Chart Room: Emerging markets and the reopening trade
Emerging EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) and Latin American stocks are particularly well positioned to reap the benefits of reopening.
The hidden dragon of 2020
As global investors scramble to digest paradigm shifts, another change of seismic scale has gone under-noticed in a year full of twists and turns.
China property: Built for the long run
Facing challenges in their core business of building and selling new homes, Chinese real estate developers have found an alternative source of revenue.
A heavy outlook for the US Dollar
The relentless spread of Covid-19 across the US and improving risk sentiment elsewhere is crimping demand for the safe-haven reserve currency.
Covid health code reveals China’s big data edge
A key to China’s success in containing the coronavirus, the health code’s propagation evinces a major advantage in big data development.
Chart Room: Asian equities diverge, creating opportunities
The difference in performance between equity markets in East Asia and South Asia (India, ASEAN nations) is the largest in nearly 15 years.
Chart room: Despite a recent rally, high yield bonds still look cheap
For US high yield, valuations look historically cheap on a relative basis - especially when compared to equities.
Chart room: Another false dawn for value stocks?
Over the past decade, previous periods of value outperformance have been short-lived. Will this time be different?
Japanification in 12 charts
Many western economies are mirroring Japan’s experience over the past 30 years.These 12 charts show how some of the key trends are playing out.
Chart Room: QE expectations vs. reality, market moves
Market expectations of future asset purchases by the Fed have an even greater influence than the purchases themselves.
Chart Room: Mobility data shows most economies are rebounding slowly
Economic activity is being determined by virus response rather than slower-moving traditional industrial cycles. We need to adjust our toolkits accordingly.
Chart Room: Beware the narrowing market
Equity market performance is now at its narrowest since the 2008 Financial Crisis, with the rally riding on a dwindling number of large-cap growth stocks.
Chart Room: Mind the valuations
After recent rebounds in stocks and bonds, we take a quick look at valuations and how they stack up against history.
Strong underpinnings to Asia’s investment grade bond market
Asia’s investment grade bond market looks attractive as we continue working through the Covid-19 outbreak, and global coordinated stimulus take effect.
Coronavirus: will there be a global recession?
Market expectations of intervention remain high.
Market volatility spikes on coronavirus impact
How should investors respond to the uncertainty caused by the coronavirus outbreak, and the volatility it may create?
Despite macro challenges, pockets of resilience in Chinese corporate earnings
Some bright spots in recent earnings reports suggest interesting opportunities
Central banks keep the show on the road, for now
Equity and bond markets don’t agree on what we should expect for the second half of the year. How should investors position in light of these mixed signals?
EM outlook: Easier conditions, tougher growth
After a challenging end to last year, the start of 2019 has brought some tentative stability to emerging markets. But it is too early to issue the all-clear.
Forecasting markets in 2029: 10 years is a long time in finance
Long term forecasting and how Fidelity constructs its 10-year capital market assumptions .
Choose your own adventure: China’s economic destiny
What does it mean for the rest of the world if in a decade's time China becomes the preeminent economic superpower, or gets stuck in the middle-income trap?
2019 China Outlook- Time to enter the tiger’s den?
We explore the opportunities in China equities and fixed income in 2019.
China and emerging market GEARs deteriorate in December
Emerging market economic indicators deteriorate in December
Fixed Income Outlook 2019: The rise of volatility
Fidelity International's outlook for fixed income markets in 2019
Multi Asset Outlook 2019: Complacency on inflation stalks markets
Fidelity International's multi asset outlook for 2019 examines the risk of a shock to markets from higher-than-expected inflation.
MSCI A-share inclusion is a milestone for China’s onshore capital markets
It’s a game-changer for both the mainland and investors, even though, on the face of it, it’s not yet a particularly high-stakes game.
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