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Fed delivers on the hint - hard landing risks have risen
The Fed delivered on hint to raise rates by 75bp to bring down inflation. We see increased risks of a hard landing and remain cautious on equities and credit.
ECB: Too much too soon could be a riskier strategy
The European Central Bank lays out its tightening path.
50, not 75, is the new 25 - Temporary relief or start of a pivot?
While the Fed will likely hike less than market expectations, we expect the hawkish stance to remain for now.
Fed resurrects Volckerism - but for how long?
The US central bank came out fighting after delivering its first rise in rates this cycle, but it is likely to be constrained by a cocktail of risks to growth
ECB faces huge dilemma as Russian invasion of Ukraine unfolds
The ECB’s accelerated reduction in asset purchases came as a surprise. There may be more changes to come.
Cautious positioning required as Ukraine escalation adds to stagflationary risks
The overnight escalation of the Russia-Ukraine crisis is a worrying development with serious macro and market implications.
Sanctions fallout from Ukraine escalation likely to hit capital not commodities
Sanctions fallout from Ukraine escalation likely to hit capital not commodities
Chart Room: Fingers in the punch bowl
Central bankers seeking to deploy rate hikes against inflation risk collateral damage as tighter policy threatens already swollen debt servicing costs.
ECB joins the hawkish bandwagon
Hawkish pivot gives the Governing Council more policy flexibility.
Fed turns from friend to foe
Pace and extent of tightening cycle depends on the inflation dynamics and the terminal level of real rates the economy and markets can digest.
Catch-2022 policy dilemma hits markets
Central bank policy stance and geopolitical risks put pressure on markets.
Hawkish Fed enters 2022 with a catch
Three rate hikes in 2022 could be a challenge.
Omicron: game-changer or waiting game?
New variant has the potential to be a game-changer for the near-term macro and market outlook.
Fed signals a fast taper as 2022 becomes the new lift-off battleground
Fed signals a fast taper as 2022 becomes the new lift-off battleground
Fed disconnects timelines for tapering and rate rises
At the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, Federal Reserve chairman Powell confirmed that the test of "substantial further progress" on inflation has now been met.
Mapping US election tail risks: a framework-based approach
Mapping US election tail risks: a framework-based approach
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